+121 pips
+8 %
Good month. I had trades on 13 days and I had only two losing days. I'm still counting my pips in terms of half size and full size pips, but it's little wrong because I never trade in "full size". So I had 242 pips but I call it 121. I stick with that and will probably continue to do so because of my perception. If I say I had 40 pips day I would be totally satisfied, but when I cut that in half and have 20 "full size pips" than I think that I could squeeze few pips more. Also when I'm in a loss and cut it mentally in half it's easier to steer correctly. It's just exactly as in retail where prices are quoted as 299.95 and not 300. It just works.
Year
-11.5 %
As far as year goes I'm down -11.5%, not much, but down. Again this was my best year so far. I had 7 profitable months and majority of loss is from blow up days. I made big progress this year in my trading. It's now much more stable than before. I got so much help from writing this blog and interaction with readers, it was crucial. I was many times in situation when I thought "I can't do that, what would people on my blog think about that stupid move". It really made difference. I'm thankful for that.
For next year my plan is to stick to the course that I'm going past two months. I proved to myself that I can be profitable with what I'm doing without some special bailout trading with averaging and risk of 20% all in trades. So I will look to continue with scalping and put more attention to trading with bigger size lifting it gradually but decidedly. My main theme will be "If I could trade profitably this month with this size than I can do it again next month with a notch bigger size".
Also I have plan of taking part of profits and paying myself. I never done that before because I trade with fairly small account and I'm net negative so adding up was only option. Now I'm in situation where size of trades can be issue for me, because I'm not so used to risk in a day what I earn in a week on my regular job. So there is no point in making account larger because I first got to get used to trade in larger size as far as money goes and not percentages. I think that sending profits back and turning them in money, in real bills will reaffirm things. Trading is to much virtual, percentages and numbers on the screen are not enough. Feel of real cash coming out from my trading activities will land things a bit and that is important, make it all more real. It doesn't matter if I had bad month before or will in future, in a month when I made nice profit part of that got to come in my hands. It's also thing of perception and perception is only thing that we have.
I wish you all prosperous and happy 2009.
Orionmachine started with vblogging and have a channel on youtube, and all you who read comments here know who he is, so check it out. I think it's very good way for him to express what he wants, better then to write a blog. It's just good medium for him.
Friday, December 26, 2008
Monday, December 22, 2008
Cluttered screen
It was quiet morning at work and I had my charts open. Well better to have it closed if you don't want to trade. There are always opportunities if you follow 1min charts and watch how day develop. Well it is hard to trade my way on small screen because I like to watch many things simultaneously, you can see how cluttered it was.
I tried for small scalp just to get something because to me it looked as good time for pullback. In the end it was full reversal.
Short trades in duration and profit were the ones where I didn't believe price action and as I hate taking losses I run away before it came back. +17 full size pips
Thursday, December 18, 2008
Psychotic scalping
This is some weird trading about what I don't know what to think. First of all I was at work, trading of laptop and had to attend other stuff not just trade. So it would be better not to trade in that circumstances but I did. Second, money from this trading I'm sending from my broker to bank account. So last few days money that I earned will not stay in account to compound but it's going home. So I had different attitude, it was let's make some money today for me. It's silly but it was different. So I recognize two kinds of money, one for my account and second for me.
I was generally correct of intentions of price but I didn't had liberty to hold position because I was busy with other stuff. So scalps were short. In the end +22 full size pips.
I was generally correct of intentions of price but I didn't had liberty to hold position because I was busy with other stuff. So scalps were short. In the end +22 full size pips.
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Small profit
Not so intuitive moves today. I'm glad that I took home some win and not loss. On first trade I was contemplating going long at 50 two minutes before my entry, so when it drop 15 pips and bounced on 10sec I went long. Happy that 30 provided so good support. I didn't want to wait for any reversal and bigger win so took 10 pips asap. The trade maybe shouldn't be put on in the first place.
On second trade price just stopped on 10sec chart and I entered because of momentum. So it didn't look good and I run away from it.
+5 full size pips
On second trade price just stopped on 10sec chart and I entered because of momentum. So it didn't look good and I run away from it.
+5 full size pips
Monday, December 15, 2008
Double up
Price was bullish, it looked to me that it will probe 500 and than suddenly came reaction down. I figured that was surprise for long side. I got at bottom of the move. So in the following time with price above my short entry I decided that I will double my position if move down materialize after all. It did and I took nice scalp. +14 full size pips
Friday, December 12, 2008
Blogroll
I updated my blogroll and make it in a way that they appear in order of the most recently updated first. Also I added two new blogs so you can check them out.
Capital is Scarce
Fxmadness
Capital is Scarce
Fxmadness
Bad trading and lessons for the future
Few things that I would like to mention today. First I found it amazing how I'm coward to risk in the direction of developed trend, but I'm so cool about stepping in to pick the reversal. I don't mind my counter trend trades, I just wish that I do some scalps in the direction of the trend. Second, I was timing my eur/usd with eur/jpy trend. So why didn't I trade that idea with eur/jpy? Just because spread was 3.3 and not 1.1 as was in eur/usd. Well you can see on chart how later eur/usd didn't move much on the downside but eur/jpy did. Bigger spread shouldn't be obstacle. If I'm willing to risk and have reasonable stop than trading higher spread pairs should be ok for me.
Third thing today is gambling. I judge gambling and that is the problem. The things you judge are just repressed desires. My risk aversion is connected to my judging of gambling. But I do enjoy gambling from time to time like in eur/jpy trade, but I feel guilty about it, as I'm doing some kind of sin.
Every trade on it's own is gamble, hundreds of trades with some edge are system. I'm just saying that I got to loosen up on that gambling thing and enjoy it freely if I want, not like this with some trade that shouldn't be put on in the first place. I should enjoy the gamble part in each and every trade I make because there is always gamble component. Than I wouldn't have to enjoy it in bad trades.
Well I wasn't very much into trading today. My choices were poor. Nevertheless I made some profit and I try to learn some instructions on days like this.
+16 full size pips
Third thing today is gambling. I judge gambling and that is the problem. The things you judge are just repressed desires. My risk aversion is connected to my judging of gambling. But I do enjoy gambling from time to time like in eur/jpy trade, but I feel guilty about it, as I'm doing some kind of sin.
Every trade on it's own is gamble, hundreds of trades with some edge are system. I'm just saying that I got to loosen up on that gambling thing and enjoy it freely if I want, not like this with some trade that shouldn't be put on in the first place. I should enjoy the gamble part in each and every trade I make because there is always gamble component. Than I wouldn't have to enjoy it in bad trades.
Well I wasn't very much into trading today. My choices were poor. Nevertheless I made some profit and I try to learn some instructions on days like this.
+16 full size pips
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Strong Euro
It could be much more if I waited, but I'm satisfied. When I look for much more, and if I don't get it, I broke all the rules and risk all good that I've done. +13 full size pips
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
Quick reaction
It started bad. I failed to take profit on first two eur/usd trades and close both at -13 half size pips. I was under impression of yesterday bad trading and I wanted bigger profits contrary to what market gave me. Than I had nice scalp win in gbp/usd. Again trade in eur/usd around the same area. Suddenly Europe pairs started to lose ground quickly. I closed last eur/usd trade in a loss and re shorted. Also I shorted gbp/usd. Well you can see on the chart how did that go. I took profits and shot for another wave down. In eur/usd I tried for third. Well in the end I went from a loss for the day of -13 full size pips to final +20 full size pips.
I'm glad that I reacted so quickly when weakens came. I got back all today losses and majority of yesterday's. It would be better if I took profit on time in first two trades but I will not complain.
I'm glad that I reacted so quickly when weakens came. I got back all today losses and majority of yesterday's. It would be better if I took profit on time in first two trades but I will not complain.
Monday, December 8, 2008
Foolishness
Every now and than I do something stupid. I was sitting in the bad trade for hours. I really didn't know what to do with it. I had opportunity to close it in profit, at b/e, with smaller loss, hours ago, well I didn't. I learned something. I don't have a need to average any more. Also I do trade like this when I have success in scalping as I had lately and than one of the scalps end up in big trend that I do not catch. Then on next trade I don't want to take scalp or get out reasonably but do stuff like today.
I learned that reason why I should stick only with scalping is because if I don't scalp I brake my rules, don't have discipline and end up in bad situation. I broke my rules today, stayed after -40 loss. I don't want to spend more time on this foolishness. -25 full size pips
I learned that reason why I should stick only with scalping is because if I don't scalp I brake my rules, don't have discipline and end up in bad situation. I broke my rules today, stayed after -40 loss. I don't want to spend more time on this foolishness. -25 full size pips
Friday, December 5, 2008
Mixed experience
It was a bit hard today, market moved all around and different in different pairs making fake moves. First I got caught on wrong side in spike that looked like beginning of momentum down move. After loss in that I got in opposite direction. Kind of emotional trade because of unexpected sudden loss but I figured that up side momentum that managed to reverse downside probable move will not be gone immediately.
At my third trade I got again caught in momentum spike just when it stopped. Well I was late and I wasn't so concentrated on market. I decided to wait because up move was really strong so if it get going again maybe it could became major up trend. I got out because it wasn't pushing when it should and on other pairs it didn't look promising. So now I was slightly positive for a day.
Trade #4 I wasn't waiting for anything I just grab some profit asap.
At fifth things became very hard. I entered on some little momentum spike down because eur/usd retraced a lot and judging by the chart of eur and gbp things look like down side is open. Gbp/usd didn't retrace at all, it was in range looking to break down. Well eur didn't listen to me. I was letting it go a lot in negative territory on my trade counting on profit from earlier to offset part of the loss. Finally it cracked down. I got out too early but that is understandable after 40 minutes sitting in loss. In the end I'm more than happy to end day positive with +14 full size pips.
At my third trade I got again caught in momentum spike just when it stopped. Well I was late and I wasn't so concentrated on market. I decided to wait because up move was really strong so if it get going again maybe it could became major up trend. I got out because it wasn't pushing when it should and on other pairs it didn't look promising. So now I was slightly positive for a day.
Trade #4 I wasn't waiting for anything I just grab some profit asap.
At fifth things became very hard. I entered on some little momentum spike down because eur/usd retraced a lot and judging by the chart of eur and gbp things look like down side is open. Gbp/usd didn't retrace at all, it was in range looking to break down. Well eur didn't listen to me. I was letting it go a lot in negative territory on my trade counting on profit from earlier to offset part of the loss. Finally it cracked down. I got out too early but that is understandable after 40 minutes sitting in loss. In the end I'm more than happy to end day positive with +14 full size pips.
Thursday, December 4, 2008
Rate cuts
Market acted somehow strange, I checked the news and apparently Sweden cut rates more than was expected and that stir things up with eur and gbp with rates cut scheduled today. On first trade I didn't expect that big drop so I wasn't waiting around after 12 pips. Sharp reaction from found support at 550 followed. I had other trades based on 10sec chart movements and clues about how things go around when sell off meet resistance force that bounce price back. There is always fresh wave of selling waiting at least to try to get market back down. So I was only looking for shorts and made few scalps more.
+12 full size pips
+12 full size pips
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
Trading in direction of the trend
I wasn't by the screen for first part of the trend down. Gbp/usd just bounced of previous day low, I was expecting it as temporarily bounce and quick resumption of trend. Well it wasn't like that, I had to wait 30min before position show me the profit. I did exit little too early, but I would take only 20 more pips max because news time was approaching soon. You never know how deep will fall be. In that situation I simply don't remember to trail my stop and not just exit. My finger is on exit button whole time and it's so natural to press it to guarantee yourself profit.
Later things bottomed and there was long setups developing. I was shaken from second trade in the day. Than I got stuck with buy at the spike up, and lost more than half of profit from the day in spike down. I was mad and entered revenge trade. I knew that it was bad, I knew that I was emotional as soon as I was in. Well I got lucky, because there really was pressure to go up. So I took my profit as soon as I recovered lost gain on that trade before and got few pips more.
After that I decided that I don't have any reason to stay trading when I was emotionally disturbed and show tendencies for bad trading.
I'm glad that in my first trade I decided to go with the trend even when it was already down 150 pips.
Trades were half size, +25 full size pips.
Later things bottomed and there was long setups developing. I was shaken from second trade in the day. Than I got stuck with buy at the spike up, and lost more than half of profit from the day in spike down. I was mad and entered revenge trade. I knew that it was bad, I knew that I was emotional as soon as I was in. Well I got lucky, because there really was pressure to go up. So I took my profit as soon as I recovered lost gain on that trade before and got few pips more.
After that I decided that I don't have any reason to stay trading when I was emotionally disturbed and show tendencies for bad trading.
I'm glad that in my first trade I decided to go with the trend even when it was already down 150 pips.
Trades were half size, +25 full size pips.
Tuesday, December 2, 2008
Today's trades
Nothing much but it's nice to be profitable after losing day yesterday. First trade was because at 72 was R1 pivot point resistance today and it just looked to me like we can get pullback and hit wave of selling judging by 30min chart. That is only shot for little scalp trying to pick a top. It's 50:50 trade, but I kind off like them.
Second trade was because of reaction on gbp/usd that bounce that instant from test of morning lows. It first pulled eur/usd down in a spike, when it bounced eur followed.
+ 10 pips
Second trade was because of reaction on gbp/usd that bounce that instant from test of morning lows. It first pulled eur/usd down in a spike, when it bounced eur followed.
+ 10 pips
Monday, December 1, 2008
I need smaller stops
Everything started to fall and I entered my eur/usd short at the top of a bounce. I leave my trade run against me because everything except eur/usd was weak. I even gave it more room at -40 cut out level, but when it started to break to the up side I exit it at the top spike.
I can't do this any more. If I so far have fix my averaging problem, now I have to readjust my exit strategy further. I lose all the bullets on one trade. It doesn't matter if I have good reasons for staying in that trade it doesn't fit in my overall trading plan. I got to have scalp stop losses. In range 5-10 pips mostly up to 15, but not 40. It was hard to get used to trading without averaging but I did. Now I got to get used to small stops. It's just natural way to exit my trades regarding that I mostly have scalp profits. For example today I entered in good scalp manner and had 4 pips profit on that trade immediately. As price started to go against me I changed my plan. I started to look around at other pairs why I should stay with the trade. I found good reasons, no other pair was retracing much, so I kept giving my eur/usd more and more room. Well eur/usd made something that we can call full reversal and other pairs didn't. I lost. I probably have to make a rule that on any individual trade max loss is -20. Maybe better -15, because it will happen from time to time when I don't want to go out, like now up to 40. So maybe better to fix it at 15. The most important thing is to exit majority of losses at 5-8 stop. For me is just easier to concentrate on scalping than any other way of trading. Maybe I should exclusively trade like that. But I still can't let go idea of not taking advantage of trends and cut all my profits in 10 pips area. Maybe I should just use very big tightening of stop, so when I have 8 pips of profit and it looks like there will be much more, trail stop to 5 pips profit an leave it there. So I will get at least 5 and leave that trade alone. Well it will probably all get settled when I start with scalp exits on all my losing trades.
Now two hours later after my 09:33 entry eur/usd is at 2 pips from market at that time, gbp/usd 140 in short direction, eur/jpy 130, usd/jpy 100. I really found wrong pair to short today.
Well I still got to develop that idea of small stops but this is direction that I'm going to take.
-22 full size pips
I can't do this any more. If I so far have fix my averaging problem, now I have to readjust my exit strategy further. I lose all the bullets on one trade. It doesn't matter if I have good reasons for staying in that trade it doesn't fit in my overall trading plan. I got to have scalp stop losses. In range 5-10 pips mostly up to 15, but not 40. It was hard to get used to trading without averaging but I did. Now I got to get used to small stops. It's just natural way to exit my trades regarding that I mostly have scalp profits. For example today I entered in good scalp manner and had 4 pips profit on that trade immediately. As price started to go against me I changed my plan. I started to look around at other pairs why I should stay with the trade. I found good reasons, no other pair was retracing much, so I kept giving my eur/usd more and more room. Well eur/usd made something that we can call full reversal and other pairs didn't. I lost. I probably have to make a rule that on any individual trade max loss is -20. Maybe better -15, because it will happen from time to time when I don't want to go out, like now up to 40. So maybe better to fix it at 15. The most important thing is to exit majority of losses at 5-8 stop. For me is just easier to concentrate on scalping than any other way of trading. Maybe I should exclusively trade like that. But I still can't let go idea of not taking advantage of trends and cut all my profits in 10 pips area. Maybe I should just use very big tightening of stop, so when I have 8 pips of profit and it looks like there will be much more, trail stop to 5 pips profit an leave it there. So I will get at least 5 and leave that trade alone. Well it will probably all get settled when I start with scalp exits on all my losing trades.
Now two hours later after my 09:33 entry eur/usd is at 2 pips from market at that time, gbp/usd 140 in short direction, eur/jpy 130, usd/jpy 100. I really found wrong pair to short today.
Well I still got to develop that idea of small stops but this is direction that I'm going to take.
-22 full size pips
Friday, November 28, 2008
November 2008. results
+ 85 pips
+ 5.6 %
For me very interesting month. I had trades on 14 days. I was hoovering around break even all the time. Slightly in loss, than back up. Majority of winnings came from that great day this week. That is not important. The most important thing was not p&l this month but discipline. I managed to get away from averaging totally this month. My biggest fear was always that my pure trading without averaging will be just simply negative. Well jumping around zero is better than expected. Also when I look at my big losses this month, they are all exaggerated by stubbornness and staying in trades until -40 pips. Clearly I could see before that number that the positive development is not and option and that I'm staying foolishly in.
I breached my discipline boundaries on two occasions. In the beginning of the month when I entered trade when I was already down on the day -36 half size pips and lost -24 half size pips more. Other time was in that big winning day when I let my loss past -40 because of near support. That trade finished as -20, it would be better if I exit when it was -20 first time.
Three worst days were as bad as they were because of my stubbornness to capitulate on time. Be it bad trade or bad attitude. So there is progress to be made. But I had a month without averaging totally. I never had it before. I thought that I can't trade without it, and look I can.
Again I have to mention that mental shift day. I just didn't have a day like that before. I never stay and hold profits and do it for few times in the row. Before if I could grab something after loss I would get out at b/e or at +20 or something. But this was different, this was trading without my usual mental limitations. That's why I call it mental shift.
So I'm very happy with the month. My focus isn't on p&l but on work. I know that I don't have all the answers but addressing problems from the past and managing them proves to work. Bad mental attitude is biggest single problem, maybe only problem. This month I had it under some control, at least I made sure to put boundaries on damage.
Under the radar comes the fact that I had positive month without averaging, which I would swear deep inside of me before that it's impossible. That belief was probably only reason why averaging was out of my control, nearly as unconscious action. I think that is the key why that mental shift day came. Changing beliefs is the only thing that works and the hardest thing to do. We are what our beliefs make us to be. There is no point in trying to change our actions if we didn't change our beliefs.
Now I was just reviewing my result posts from before and in July I had 5.3% up with 148 pips. My leverage this month is up, near double from than and by using half size trades I make it manageable so I got around same percentage with just 85 pips.
I wish to thank all the people that are following this blog and participate in comments. It really is working good for me and interaction with you guys make me better and more responsible trader. It's common work and probably replacement for a work with mentor. You all are my mentors, thank you for that.
+ 5.6 %
For me very interesting month. I had trades on 14 days. I was hoovering around break even all the time. Slightly in loss, than back up. Majority of winnings came from that great day this week. That is not important. The most important thing was not p&l this month but discipline. I managed to get away from averaging totally this month. My biggest fear was always that my pure trading without averaging will be just simply negative. Well jumping around zero is better than expected. Also when I look at my big losses this month, they are all exaggerated by stubbornness and staying in trades until -40 pips. Clearly I could see before that number that the positive development is not and option and that I'm staying foolishly in.
I breached my discipline boundaries on two occasions. In the beginning of the month when I entered trade when I was already down on the day -36 half size pips and lost -24 half size pips more. Other time was in that big winning day when I let my loss past -40 because of near support. That trade finished as -20, it would be better if I exit when it was -20 first time.
pips/day | cumulative |
38 | 38 |
-30 | 8 |
10 | 18 |
-20 | -2 |
-12 | -14 |
10 | -4 |
14 | 10 |
-20 | -10 |
10 | 0 |
7 | 7 |
10 | 17 |
61 | 78 |
-2 | 76 |
9 | 85 |
Three worst days were as bad as they were because of my stubbornness to capitulate on time. Be it bad trade or bad attitude. So there is progress to be made. But I had a month without averaging totally. I never had it before. I thought that I can't trade without it, and look I can.
Again I have to mention that mental shift day. I just didn't have a day like that before. I never stay and hold profits and do it for few times in the row. Before if I could grab something after loss I would get out at b/e or at +20 or something. But this was different, this was trading without my usual mental limitations. That's why I call it mental shift.
So I'm very happy with the month. My focus isn't on p&l but on work. I know that I don't have all the answers but addressing problems from the past and managing them proves to work. Bad mental attitude is biggest single problem, maybe only problem. This month I had it under some control, at least I made sure to put boundaries on damage.
Under the radar comes the fact that I had positive month without averaging, which I would swear deep inside of me before that it's impossible. That belief was probably only reason why averaging was out of my control, nearly as unconscious action. I think that is the key why that mental shift day came. Changing beliefs is the only thing that works and the hardest thing to do. We are what our beliefs make us to be. There is no point in trying to change our actions if we didn't change our beliefs.
Now I was just reviewing my result posts from before and in July I had 5.3% up with 148 pips. My leverage this month is up, near double from than and by using half size trades I make it manageable so I got around same percentage with just 85 pips.
I wish to thank all the people that are following this blog and participate in comments. It really is working good for me and interaction with you guys make me better and more responsible trader. It's common work and probably replacement for a work with mentor. You all are my mentors, thank you for that.
Scalping
Well this is what I like. Scalping with 10sec and 1min charts based on fast moves in the direction of the trend. It's always hard for me to shot the first trade in the day. If I started with first trade earlier it would be even better. It's like getting in the water, first there is hesitation because of the temperature, but when you get accustomed it's no problem. I'm getting used to just take scalps and not aiming for swings. It suits me better and after each trade I'm like reset and ready for more. Not much but with half size trades I managed to gather 9 full size pips.
Thursday, November 27, 2008
Morning chaos
Well it wasn't chaos, but when you look at that chart..
I was scalping, so I should have take profits when I have them. No matter if it's just 3, 5 or 8 pips. On few of the trades I had profit but I didn't take it. I than got out at b/e or I got stubborn like with that trade marked purple. I let nice profit turn in a loss, 27 pips from bottom to top. I was looking for bigger swing but market didn't want to go down. Why did I short in the first place?
Because that uptrend wasn't the thing that I would like to buy. Before 9 market was moving down so I expected to resume. Price didn't move strong, it all looked like as it can fall apart any moment.
I wasn't by the screen for that brake up after 10:30. Gbp moved 70 pips in 4 minutes after 1 hour of 10 pips range.
On those last two shorts, on lower picture, I was looking to lot's of charts from chf to gbp/jpy to time them. I decided to use lesson learned, take scalp profits when you have them and don't wait for the swing. With last three positive trades I brought down loss for the day to -3 half size pips.
I was probably under impression from two days ago of big swings, so I neglected taking scalp profits. Well trading isn't about trading, it's about profits.
I was scalping, so I should have take profits when I have them. No matter if it's just 3, 5 or 8 pips. On few of the trades I had profit but I didn't take it. I than got out at b/e or I got stubborn like with that trade marked purple. I let nice profit turn in a loss, 27 pips from bottom to top. I was looking for bigger swing but market didn't want to go down. Why did I short in the first place?
Because that uptrend wasn't the thing that I would like to buy. Before 9 market was moving down so I expected to resume. Price didn't move strong, it all looked like as it can fall apart any moment.
I wasn't by the screen for that brake up after 10:30. Gbp moved 70 pips in 4 minutes after 1 hour of 10 pips range.
On those last two shorts, on lower picture, I was looking to lot's of charts from chf to gbp/jpy to time them. I decided to use lesson learned, take scalp profits when you have them and don't wait for the swing. With last three positive trades I brought down loss for the day to -3 half size pips.
I was probably under impression from two days ago of big swings, so I neglected taking scalp profits. Well trading isn't about trading, it's about profits.
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Mental shift
I never did something like this
It started as gambling. I came home and when I saw action I wanted to trade. No thinking, no nothing. It sometimes get's me like this and I don't like it because I usually lose. Well first I did today. I lose quickly and got bit lucky with the pullback, so I got out on better price for a loss. I broke my -40 pips rule, but didn't average or went mad. Just there was previous low on 1min chart and it was foolish to get out at -40 with low not violated. So I stayed. I stayed as long as price was going back up. When it broke uptrend on 10sec chart I took a loss of -20.
All trades were with half size.
Than I decided to go in direction of the trend counting this as pullback and now resumption of a trend. It really did fall and I got in profit. It was tempting to just take 20 and have break even gambling day. But I stayed with the trade and I got out probably because profit of 50 pips was really good and I wanted to book it.
Whole time today my eyes were on dow jones and s&p chart to guide me.
Than I wanted more, and got short because bounce from the lows after second trade was so quick and bigger in currencies than equities. It was too early, I even went negative on the day losing more than 30 pips on that trade at some point. Fall resumed I stay with it and got another winner. Than everywhere price just refused to fall more and it was time for long direction. Winning side didn't pick up quickly and it was hard holding that trade hoovering at 10 pips profit that could evaporate. I wanted several times to take 10-20 pips but I decided that now when I have nice winners so far I can stay with this and risk that small profit. Well that was nice winner also and when 10 sec chart start rolling I got out.
Now I don't care where it will go. I'm tired and don't have concentration for more trades. I'm totally surprised with my trading. That I pushed so hard for profit, I can't believe that. It's so not me. Well the first part is me, where I got in just for the sake of action, but after it, it's mental shift. I never stay to take that big profit, I was milking last two trades as best as I could. I didn't lost my composure with open losses, or booked loss. I didn't panic with big loss nor big gain. I'm pleasantly surprised. Also I don't remember when I had that much profit in a day, it was more than 100 half size pips. It's 60 full size pips, crazy for my usual scalping of 10 pips.
It started as gambling. I came home and when I saw action I wanted to trade. No thinking, no nothing. It sometimes get's me like this and I don't like it because I usually lose. Well first I did today. I lose quickly and got bit lucky with the pullback, so I got out on better price for a loss. I broke my -40 pips rule, but didn't average or went mad. Just there was previous low on 1min chart and it was foolish to get out at -40 with low not violated. So I stayed. I stayed as long as price was going back up. When it broke uptrend on 10sec chart I took a loss of -20.
All trades were with half size.
Than I decided to go in direction of the trend counting this as pullback and now resumption of a trend. It really did fall and I got in profit. It was tempting to just take 20 and have break even gambling day. But I stayed with the trade and I got out probably because profit of 50 pips was really good and I wanted to book it.
Whole time today my eyes were on dow jones and s&p chart to guide me.
Than I wanted more, and got short because bounce from the lows after second trade was so quick and bigger in currencies than equities. It was too early, I even went negative on the day losing more than 30 pips on that trade at some point. Fall resumed I stay with it and got another winner. Than everywhere price just refused to fall more and it was time for long direction. Winning side didn't pick up quickly and it was hard holding that trade hoovering at 10 pips profit that could evaporate. I wanted several times to take 10-20 pips but I decided that now when I have nice winners so far I can stay with this and risk that small profit. Well that was nice winner also and when 10 sec chart start rolling I got out.
Now I don't care where it will go. I'm tired and don't have concentration for more trades. I'm totally surprised with my trading. That I pushed so hard for profit, I can't believe that. It's so not me. Well the first part is me, where I got in just for the sake of action, but after it, it's mental shift. I never stay to take that big profit, I was milking last two trades as best as I could. I didn't lost my composure with open losses, or booked loss. I didn't panic with big loss nor big gain. I'm pleasantly surprised. Also I don't remember when I had that much profit in a day, it was more than 100 half size pips. It's 60 full size pips, crazy for my usual scalping of 10 pips.
Monday, November 24, 2008
Dow Jones
Apparently there was rally in Dow Jones which pick up eur crosses. Last days I always look at something different to trade. When I want to trade eur/usd I look at eur/jpy. Now at the Dow. I didn't get it right away why eur was slowly going higher so I wasn't participating in that. Everything came close to morning highs, eur/jpy at 121. Dow started to slow down so I took a shot at eur/jpy short. Got out because it was around 1R and you never know is it reversal or just retracement. +10 full size pips
Friday, November 21, 2008
The contrarian
Today I wasn't in really good frame of mind for trading. I early recognized that so I didn't go by my contrarian need. So I didn't short the uptrend, which I really wanted to do, but I put lines where I would short it (purple). Well you can see how would it go. Cyan is place where I would go long. Funny.
I guess that I'm intimidated by strong trends. I don't want to be part of them, but I want to go against them. Don't ask my why, I dont' understand it. I noticed that before so I didn't got myself in difficult position by going short.
In the end I did take part of reversal in eur/jpy. Not very good trade, but I made some profit in it. + 7 full size pips
I guess that I'm intimidated by strong trends. I don't want to be part of them, but I want to go against them. Don't ask my why, I dont' understand it. I noticed that before so I didn't got myself in difficult position by going short.
In the end I did take part of reversal in eur/jpy. Not very good trade, but I made some profit in it. + 7 full size pips
Thursday, November 20, 2008
Hairy top
Today I knew where is my stop. It was just above the high. I entered the trade because of those hairy 5min candles which showed resistance to the upside. With small risk of ten half size pips I gain in the end 2R.
I exit at that point because 515 level was before in the morning resistance and than support figure. I even thought of adding one more trade if it brake it strong on the downside at that price. When it started coming back I took my profit.
+10 full size pips
I exit at that point because 515 level was before in the morning resistance and than support figure. I even thought of adding one more trade if it brake it strong on the downside at that price. When it started coming back I took my profit.
+10 full size pips
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
There was no break out
I entered break out before break out occur. In the end there was no break out, it happen to be resistance. I didn't for a once thought that there will be no break out until it wasn't too late. I didn't have slightest idea that it can than prove as resistance if there is no break out. I wasn't cautious as two days ago nor handy as yesterday. I was over confident and sloppy. When position never come in to a profit I tend to give it more room. Luckily I have that rule of max loss for a day and I stick with that. Without it it would be perfect candidate for averaging and few hundreds pips risk. I really didn't think of it as short opportunity when it started to slide down. I just got stuck in opinion. Problem was because gbp/usd stayed in range as before, but eur was just sliding. Now I don't care what will happen next, I lost today and that's it. -20 full size pips.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Heavy scalping
Well it really was heavy early morning scalping. Funny thing was that I first wanted to go long gbp/usd at the area marked with yellow arrow but. I thought that it will go up to yesterdays high at 85, but I was afraid to do it. I was afraid of having a loss so early, not knowing yet how the market is behaving. It's really funny because I have that first trade stage fright and after I get all mad throwing trades all over the place. Well that idea would get me nice profit, but it only stayed as idea.
Probably because that thing worked I wanted to trade, than I usually go in opposite direction. As I did in my first trade, but man, it was 20 pips off the high, it's no place to short strong trend. So I got out immediately because it was just bad trade.
I went long in gbp/usd in second trade because eur/usd was really pushing up and I knew that it will pull gbp/usd back toward highs. You can see that on 10sec chart from which I was taking all of those trades.
Than up move started to look fishy to me and I shorted eur/usd. It made a run up so I exit 3, 4 pips before the max stop of 20. When I saw that it didn't go up and that I wouldn't get stopped out I throw another short 7 pips lower than my loss point. At that point I was really deep in scalping mentality and trading on 10 sec movements. The big drop started and I jumped in, didn't know what it was so took sure profit. Sometimes it can go up as fast as it falls in spike so no reason to stay in and guess, and I was scalping so I had nice scalping profit.
Next trades I all ready lost my concentration and I was jumping in and out. Onada with it's great spread of 0.9 pips made for all those 3 trades sum of -1 pip, and last one was small profit. Than I decided that it's enough and that I'm not in the shape to trade any more. I have concentration span of goldfish for scalping.
I'm pleased with all of this. Market is like back in normal way of behaving, spread is normal and I scalped nicely. All trades were half size so total of +14 full size pips. Later there was more nice opportunities but I wasn't feeling any want to trade more so I rather stayed out.
Probably because that thing worked I wanted to trade, than I usually go in opposite direction. As I did in my first trade, but man, it was 20 pips off the high, it's no place to short strong trend. So I got out immediately because it was just bad trade.
I went long in gbp/usd in second trade because eur/usd was really pushing up and I knew that it will pull gbp/usd back toward highs. You can see that on 10sec chart from which I was taking all of those trades.
Than up move started to look fishy to me and I shorted eur/usd. It made a run up so I exit 3, 4 pips before the max stop of 20. When I saw that it didn't go up and that I wouldn't get stopped out I throw another short 7 pips lower than my loss point. At that point I was really deep in scalping mentality and trading on 10 sec movements. The big drop started and I jumped in, didn't know what it was so took sure profit. Sometimes it can go up as fast as it falls in spike so no reason to stay in and guess, and I was scalping so I had nice scalping profit.
Next trades I all ready lost my concentration and I was jumping in and out. Onada with it's great spread of 0.9 pips made for all those 3 trades sum of -1 pip, and last one was small profit. Than I decided that it's enough and that I'm not in the shape to trade any more. I have concentration span of goldfish for scalping.
I'm pleased with all of this. Market is like back in normal way of behaving, spread is normal and I scalped nicely. All trades were half size so total of +14 full size pips. Later there was more nice opportunities but I wasn't feeling any want to trade more so I rather stayed out.
Monday, November 17, 2008
Patiently waiting for opportunity
First entry was for testing morning high. It didn't test it and I decided to get out because all of that got prolonged and 14:30 got close and I didn't want to have open trade at that time of wider spread in fast gbp/usd. At the time it also looked like the price will be around my entry and stop, not higher in profit as it later actually was.
Second trade was pure momentum driven. I decided to exit at that moment because all pairs started to fall against jpy at that time and there was no up pressure in eur/usd like in gbp. It's not very good environment to stay long gbp. So I took scalp.
I would be more happy if I took scalp profit in my first trade when I had it. Best value entry for that gbp/usd retracement would be 900 area. Price wasn't for very long below it, so it showed nice support tendencies.
Trades were half size, so +10 full size pips.
Second trade was pure momentum driven. I decided to exit at that moment because all pairs started to fall against jpy at that time and there was no up pressure in eur/usd like in gbp. It's not very good environment to stay long gbp. So I took scalp.
I would be more happy if I took scalp profit in my first trade when I had it. Best value entry for that gbp/usd retracement would be 900 area. Price wasn't for very long below it, so it showed nice support tendencies.
Trades were half size, so +10 full size pips.
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Thrill seeking
I'm guilty of sin called thrill seeking. I think that majority of my trades have element of that. Even if I do get in a trade for good reasons usually I overstay if it's not going my way. In that overstaying I get thrill in waiting will it come back again. Today I entered trade that at it's best is coin flip. Had another one for some trendline bounce try, but all in all it's thrill seeking.
I'm little disappointed with all of that because I say to myself that I'm here because of business and money, but it's not entirely true. I fool myself I think because I don't approach this all seriously. I don't wait any more for real setups where I see something that is really going on. That all isn't flattering but it's true.
-12 pips
I'm little disappointed with all of that because I say to myself that I'm here because of business and money, but it's not entirely true. I fool myself I think because I don't approach this all seriously. I don't wait any more for real setups where I see something that is really going on. That all isn't flattering but it's true.
-12 pips
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
Unprepared for a down side
If I'm going in the trade based on momentum I shouldn't let it slide against me so much. That's being unprepared for a down side. Having just the widest stop isn't that good as a strategy. It was fun to watch how 730 area was defended for that long time with my stop 2 pips below it. One thing that I'm learning is to stay with a stop as stupid as it looks. My old me would move that stop, maybe average or something. Now when the price rebounded as I write I'm in "I told you so" thoughts. But I really do want to learn trading with discipline. I got to learn that I will be stopped out endlessly and that no averaging will save me. Than I will maybe more proactively manage trades and not just get in and hope for the best.
-20 pips
-20 pips
Monday, November 10, 2008
Long ride
I got myself into position and after it was half an hour in profit I got married for it so I didn't want to let her go. I would stop myself out if top around 930 was broken to the upside. Reversal came and I was sitting tight, but after news I got shaken out and missed the ride toward 800.
All in all this let's say swing trading isn't for me. It's boring and I always get out too soon or too late. It was half size trade and it felt small to take 10-15 profit when I had it in first 10 minutes.
Well I'm better trader for taking just 10 pips than more but I always convince myself otherwise. It's easier for me not to be in the trade, so I can think more clearly. With this position on I was hypnotized for the whole move.
+10 full size pips
All in all this let's say swing trading isn't for me. It's boring and I always get out too soon or too late. It was half size trade and it felt small to take 10-15 profit when I had it in first 10 minutes.
Well I'm better trader for taking just 10 pips than more but I always convince myself otherwise. It's easier for me not to be in the trade, so I can think more clearly. With this position on I was hypnotized for the whole move.
+10 full size pips
Friday, November 7, 2008
Good news and bad news
Bad news is that I lost today, good news is that I was disciplined and trading inside of set rules.
Just when I wrote this I broke my rules by having one more trade in which I get punished very, very fast. Still I'm going to stay with headline and will not kick myself over that. Before that last trade I was -18 full size pips and now -30 full size pips. The thing that I recognize now that it's important to accept the rules and that I broke them but that I'm not going now on revenge mission throwing all away.
OK, I had this triangle drawn, but I have something against TA because when it start to go as it suppose to I don't believe it. So I didn't short the brake, but I said to myself I will short the test of the line. But to get it short price got to go up there, so let's have a long scalp up to that line. Well as you can see my logic doesn't have firm foundation in this case. To make things worse, I lost all perspective of broken triangle and what is going on, I was just reversing my trades as momentum dictated me. But that whipsawed me a lot. Red lines are losing trades and blue is winning.
So that all eur/usd was half size and was in boundaries of my plan with -18.
Than I put momentum long on gbp/usd and got a nice loser very fast. Well I'm glad, because that trade didn't have a room to be put on with 4 pips spread on gbp/usd, I was breaking my trading plan. Better that I got punished than rewarded on that.
The best thing is that I recognize broken rules and will not now make things worse. That is nice rule also.
I kept cool and I like that.
In day like today when I trade really wrong it's great that I have decision of closing all when I lose my 40 half size chips. There is far more probability that I can do bigger damage than remedy things if I keep trading.
Also I can see that I feel pretty ok when I lose small half size trades and that I should go for more opportunities. Not only like today when I got stuck in bad mind frame to trade so much.
Just when I wrote this I broke my rules by having one more trade in which I get punished very, very fast. Still I'm going to stay with headline and will not kick myself over that. Before that last trade I was -18 full size pips and now -30 full size pips. The thing that I recognize now that it's important to accept the rules and that I broke them but that I'm not going now on revenge mission throwing all away.
OK, I had this triangle drawn, but I have something against TA because when it start to go as it suppose to I don't believe it. So I didn't short the brake, but I said to myself I will short the test of the line. But to get it short price got to go up there, so let's have a long scalp up to that line. Well as you can see my logic doesn't have firm foundation in this case. To make things worse, I lost all perspective of broken triangle and what is going on, I was just reversing my trades as momentum dictated me. But that whipsawed me a lot. Red lines are losing trades and blue is winning.
So that all eur/usd was half size and was in boundaries of my plan with -18.
Than I put momentum long on gbp/usd and got a nice loser very fast. Well I'm glad, because that trade didn't have a room to be put on with 4 pips spread on gbp/usd, I was breaking my trading plan. Better that I got punished than rewarded on that.
The best thing is that I recognize broken rules and will not now make things worse. That is nice rule also.
I kept cool and I like that.
In day like today when I trade really wrong it's great that I have decision of closing all when I lose my 40 half size chips. There is far more probability that I can do bigger damage than remedy things if I keep trading.
Also I can see that I feel pretty ok when I lose small half size trades and that I should go for more opportunities. Not only like today when I got stuck in bad mind frame to trade so much.
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